Oddpool
Institutional infrastructure for prediction markets
About Oddpool
Oddpool is a platform that helps quant funds and trading desks harness the power of prediction markets. We make it easy to access, search, and analyze every venue from one place. Avi and Ritesh have been roommates since freshman year at Georgia Tech. Avi has a Master's in ML and saved Microsoft $6M/year by building a more accurate model on half the hardware. Ritesh has a Master's in Distributed Systems and made buy-side trading systems at Bloomberg 40% faster. We started trading prediction markets ourselves but couldn't backtest our strategies because the tooling for this emerging asset class didn't exist. The deeper we went, the more we saw that fragmentation between prediction markets and lack of clean data was going to be a big problem. We launched a prosumer tier and grew to several thousand dollars in MRR within months. Now we're bringing it to institutions, building tooling with the rigor and depth serious desks demand. They're the fastest growing asset class in finance, and CFTC applications for new exchanges keep climbing. Each new venue makes the market bigger, the fragmentation worse, and the unified data layer more valuable. It doesn't exist yet. We're building it.
Public traction evidence
Each signal links to the public source used for attribution.
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Very ironic of CME to call sports markets gambling when they have a joint venture with Fanduel, a literal sports book.
Very ironic of CME to call sports markets gambling when they have a joint venture with Fanduel, a literal sports book. Fanduel already brokers Nadex contracts, wonder if they’ll start relying on them more.
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Prediction-market infrastructure is growing quickly.
Prediction-market infrastructure is growing quickly. Excited to see PMFI building automated vault infrastructure for prediction-market arbitrage using Oddpool in their execution stack. PMFI is building DeFi primitives on top of prediction markets, including vault strategies
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Introducing Oddpool, the institutional data layer for prediction markets, backed by @ycombinator
Introducing Oddpool, the institutional data layer for prediction markets, backed by @ycombinator
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Kalshi unveiled their new midterms hub today.
Kalshi unveiled their new midterms hub today. Political markets are continuing to be a pm battle front. I think it brings lots of institutional attention to the space. It's fun comparing the viz on both Kalshi and Poly, would recommend. P.S. Playing with Kalshi timeline
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the Trump family's prediction market footprint is wild.
the Trump family's prediction market footprint is wild. Trump Jr. is a strategic adviser to Kalshi. he's also a strategic adviser to Polymarket. his VC firm, 1789 Capital, invested "double-digit millions" into Polymarket one month after the DOJ and CFTC dropped their
- LinkedIn
David Lieb post about Oddpool
Seems obvious that data infra built on top of prediction markets is going to be very valuable to hedge funds. Love seeing a team that built stuff for themselves and then realized it could be mega valuable to institutional traders.
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someone needs to run gpt-image-2 on swebench this is insane.
someone needs to run gpt-image-2 on swebench this is insane.
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We just release our Prediction Market Dominance Index Finally there is a single place to track volume, liquidity, turnover, open events, and much more for both @Kalshi and @Polymarket
We just release our Prediction Market Dominance Index Finally there is a single place to track volume, liquidity, turnover, open events, and much more for both @Kalshi and @Polymarket